Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 95.413407 106.134069 117.055997 128.985076 141.617457 154.567749 168.818802
2025-03-02 78.628114 94.076740 110.467926 129.033197 149.360187 170.831382 195.118648
2025-03-09 68.731237 86.872979 106.704391 129.747383 155.552657 183.347954 215.341278
2025-03-16 59.826352 79.649725 101.927369 128.411974 158.658909 191.781790 230.461552
2025-03-23 54.394571 75.776018 100.380823 130.193330 164.785838 203.167190 248.493664
2025-03-30 50.047343 72.734813 99.416973 132.300669 170.990573 214.404340 266.163594
2025-04-06 44.810971 68.159076 96.257751 131.499150 173.548754 221.263113 278.681933
2025-04-13 39.286119 62.782972 91.763146 128.776463 173.573819 224.976998 287.405094
2025-04-20 37.525115 62.098049 92.926571 132.788965 181.494757 237.794495 306.578419
2025-04-27 35.276187 60.583432 92.906218 135.234151 187.452655 248.258704 322.989919
2025-05-04 31.922902 57.329529 90.474689 134.522792 189.463898 253.973770 333.784153
2025-05-11 28.736277 54.072371 87.853013 133.412732 190.858332 258.856410 343.521578
2025-05-18 26.548103 52.121656 86.889491 134.389551 194.843061 266.895683 357.094132
2025-05-25 24.135822 49.668654 85.125702 134.238259 197.359363 273.131045 368.513416
2025-06-01 22.251537 47.862744 84.133229 135.001363 200.952105 280.621123 381.398041
2025-06-08 19.844691 45.056047 81.610023 133.628629 201.754203 284.645100 390.076577
2025-06-15 18.616473 44.029914 81.526078 135.453858 206.591822 293.591457 404.679282
2025-06-22 17.578546 43.234587 81.717825 137.611739 211.833340 303.027206 419.880166
2025-06-29 15.796221 41.041587 79.778143 136.791007 213.169749 307.592299 429.141538
2025-07-06 13.663458 38.037092 76.494346 134.002632 211.851363 308.783481 434.231248
2025-07-13 13.392943 38.353167 78.180437 138.111746 219.570291 321.278516 453.177815
2025-07-20 12.757885 37.944118 78.732939 140.615235 225.168674 331.118752 468.881553
2025-07-27 11.437932 36.123437 77.036090 139.886959 226.448533 335.497553 477.848618